WN 930 · STS → LAS

departs 12:50 PM PT · arrives 2:31 PM PT

Your aircraft is N205WN (B737), coming in as WN 1249 from BUR: still at BUR, due off about 1:29 PM PT, 107 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at STS that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

STS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.02 in

LAS (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 930 · STS → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?