Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4506 IN THE AIR (OFF 7:05 AM ET, ETA 8:28 AM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 14 Today

YX 4506 · CAE → LGA

took off 7:05 AM ET · expected to land 8:28 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

CAE (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4506 · CAE → LGA

Odds over time