9E 5364 · JAX → JFK

departs 5:54 PM ET · arrives 8:09 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

69% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
26%
15–30 min late
43%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
14%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JAX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

Weather at each end

JAX (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5364 · JAX → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?