9E 5441 · DTW → SDF

took off 9:32 AM ET · landed 10:21 AM ET (scheduled 8:25 AM ET → 9:50 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to SDF?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DTW is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 8am departures from DTW are often late

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SDF (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5441 · DTW → SDF

Odds over time

How late did it get to SDF?