AA 1014 · DFW → TUS

departs 8:20 AM CT · arrives 9:38 AM MT

Your aircraft is N741UW (A319).

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +27 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to TUS?

On time or early
11%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
53%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ TUS is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.16 in

TUS (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1014 · DFW → TUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to TUS?