AA 1133 · DFW → RIC

departs 6:56 PM CT · arrives 10:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±5 pts −12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RIC?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.62 in

RIC (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1133 · DFW → RIC

Odds over time

How late will it get to RIC?