tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1214 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1214 · SLC → DFW

departs 7:00 AM MT · arrives 10:49 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
38% chance · ±7 pts +27 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.4d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DFW?

  1. On time or early
    60%
  2. 15–30 min late
    16%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    14%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.