Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1435 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15

AA 1435 · DFW → DEN

departs 6:59 AM CT · arrives 8:08 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 59h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.28 in

DEN (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling7,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1435 · DFW → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?