Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1741SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AA 1741 · SMF → ORD
departs 10:53 PM PT · arrives 5:02 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
16%chance · ±0 pts−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.