AA 2279 · ORD → SJU

departs 8:07 AM CT · arrives 2:57 PM AT

Your aircraft is N309PC (B738), coming in as AA 1936 from EWR: landed 7:29 PM CT.

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts +22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SJU?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJU (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2279 · ORD → SJU

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJU?