Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2288 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow

AA 2288 · DFW → FAT

departs 10:01 PM CT · arrives 11:25 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FAT?

On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.64 in

FAT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2288 · DFW → FAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to FAT?