Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2289 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow

AA 2289 · DFW → STL

departs 9:45 PM CT · arrives 11:41 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 29h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

↓ STL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.60 in

STL (destination) Gusts2 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2289 · DFW → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?