Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2709 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow

AA 2709 · DFW → PSP

departs 8:23 PM CT · arrives 9:25 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at PSP more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±6 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PSP?

On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
26%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 267 ft, 1.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PSP

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling267 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.62 in

PSP (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2709 · DFW → PSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to PSP?