AA 2736 · DFW → RSW

departs 3:22 PM CT · arrives 7:05 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

69% chance · ±0 pts +24 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RSW?

On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
31%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
12%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.2 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.20 in

RSW (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2736 · DFW → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?