AA 2867 · PHX → BUR

departs 5:49 PM MT · arrives 6:21 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±0 pts +22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUR?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
17%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 5pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2867 · PHX → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?