Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3292 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow

AA 3292 · ORD → STL

departs 10:46 PM CT · arrives 12:06 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts2 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3292 · ORD → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?