AA 3302 · TUL → PHX

departs 5:19 PM CT · arrives 7:07 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
10%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TUL

Weather at each end

TUL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

PHX (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3302 · TUL → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?