Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 606 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow

AA 606 · DFW → SAT

departs 9:43 PM CT · arrives 10:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 8:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SAT that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.64 in

SAT (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 606 · DFW → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?