Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 9748 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15 Today

AA 9748 · IND → DFW

departs 6:04 PM ET · arrives 7:38 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

86% chance · ±0 pts +26 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
12%
15–30 min late
54%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
14%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IND (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.55 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 9748 · IND → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?