AA 9785 · DFW → TUL

departs 9:08 AM CT · arrives 10:31 AM CT

Your aircraft is N805AN (B788).

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to TUL?

On time or early
14%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
57%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.90 in

TUL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 9785 · DFW → TUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to TUL?