Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 9819 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, November 15 Today

AS 9819 · SAN → HNL

departs 3:40 PM PT · arrives 7:29 PM HT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from SAN are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling8,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 9819 · SAN → HNL

Odds over time