Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AVIANCA · FLIGHT AV 5061 LANDED 10:34 AM -05, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, November 15 Today

AV 5061 · JFK → BOG

took off 5:23 AM ET · landed 10:34 AM -05 (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at BOG more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↑ JFK is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AV 5061 · JFK → BOG

Odds over time