Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1114
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
DL 1114 · SEA → PHL
departs 9:20 PM PT · arrives 5:29 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 15%
Tue 11/17 17%
Wed 11/18 20%
Thu 11/19 22%
Fri 11/20 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from SEA are often late
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.22 in
PHL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.