DL 1170 · ATL → AUS

departs 6:59 PM ET · arrives 8:22 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±4 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1170 · ATL → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?