Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1181 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15

DL 1181 · LGA → FLL

departs 10:55 AM ET · arrives 1:54 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 38h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ 10am departures from LGA are often late

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling9,167 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1181 · LGA → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?