DL 1541 · DTW → STL

departs 8:00 PM ET · arrives 8:37 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts2 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1541 · DTW → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?