Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1585
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
DL 1585 · IAH → ATL
departs 9:41 AM CT · arrives 12:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Fri 11/13 15%
Sat 11/14 16%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 15%
Tue 11/17 20%
Wed 11/18 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.27 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.