Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1869
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
DL 1869 · ATL → PLS
departs 10:35 AM ET · arrives 1:23 PM EST
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Fri 11/13 11%
Sat 11/14 16%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 10%
Tue 11/17 9%
Wed 11/18 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at PLS more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PLS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at PLS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PLS?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PLS
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
PLS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
PLS (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 4,300 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.