Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1966
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
DL 1966 · BOS → MCI
departs 4:07 PM ET · arrives 6:32 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 26%
Tue 11/17 24%
Wed 11/18 22%
Thu 11/19 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into MCI at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCI (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.