Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2059
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
DL 2059 · AUS → MCO
departs 7:09 PM CT · arrives 10:37 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 89%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 31%
Tue 11/17 19%
Wed 11/18 22%
Thu 11/19 36%
Fri 11/20 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
7pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.01 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.