Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2213
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
DL 2213 · ATL → LEX
departs 10:40 PM ET · arrives 11:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 63%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 10%
Tue 11/17 13%
Wed 11/18 13%
Thu 11/19 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at LEX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LEX?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
LEX usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LEX (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.