Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2627
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
DL 2627 · JAX → ATL
departs 7:02 PM ET · arrives 8:19 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 12%
Tue 11/17 12%
Wed 11/18 12%
Thu 11/19 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from JAX are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JAX
Weather at each end
JAX (origin)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.