Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2642 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow

DL 2642 · ATL → PHL

departs 10:56 PM ET · arrives 12:59 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↑ 10pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2642 · ATL → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?