Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Sunday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2728 SCHEDULED

Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow

DL 2728 · SLC → AUS

departs 5:45 PM MT · arrives 9:30 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2728 · SLC → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?