Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2804
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
DL 2804 · BOS → ORD
departs 7:44 PM ET · arrives 9:22 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 22%
Tue 11/17 33%
Wed 11/18 38%
Thu 11/19 39%
Fri 11/20 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 46% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.