Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3040 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15

DL 3040 · ATL → LIT

departs 10:31 AM ET · arrives 11:03 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at LIT more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LIT?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ 10am departures from ATL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LIT

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LIT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3040 · ATL → LIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to LIT?