Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3109
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Today
DL 3109 · ATL → SRQ
departs 3:34 PM ET · arrives 5:13 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±0 pts
+19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
10%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +28 pts in 24h
+28 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at SRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to SRQ?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SRQ (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.