Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3109
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Today
DL 3109 · SRQ → ATL
departs 6:18 PM ET · arrives 8:09 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
10%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +32 pts in 24h
+32 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SRQ
Weather at each end
SRQ (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.