Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 8952
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Today
DL 8952 · YWG → TPA
departs 9:56 PM EST · arrives 1:40 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
9%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave YWG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into TPA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA
Weather at each end
YWG (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.