Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 928 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow

DL 928 · ANC → SEA

departs 4:02 PM AKT · arrives 8:45 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2.8 in of snow forecast at ANC that day

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ ANC usually runs smoothly

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.04 in

SEA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 928 · ANC → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?