Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 946 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15

DL 946 · LAX → AUS

departs 7:35 AM PT · arrives 12:38 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 62h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ AUS is prone to delays

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.96 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 946 · LAX → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?