Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 9754 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15 Today

DL 9754 · RSW → LGA

departs 5:55 PM ET · arrives 8:42 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±0 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
33%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
11%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 9754 · RSW → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?