Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 4953 IN THE AIR (OFF 2:49 AM MT, ETA 5:51 AM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, November 15 Today

G4 4953 · BZN → DSM

took off 2:49 AM MT · expected to land 5:51 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DSM

Weather at each end

BZN (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DSM (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 4953 · BZN → DSM

Odds over time