Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AVIANCA COSTA RICA · FLIGHT LR 5641 IN THE AIR (OFF 12:25 AM PT, ETA 6:32 AM CST) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, November 15 Today

LR 5641 · LAX → GUA

took off 12:25 AM PT · expected to land 6:32 AM CST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at GUA more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GUA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

LR 5641 · LAX → GUA

Odds over time