MQ 3532 · DFW → XNA

departs 12:30 PM CT · arrives 1:51 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to XNA?

On time or early
16%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
57%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.2 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 12pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at XNA

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.96 in

XNA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3532 · DFW → XNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to XNA?