Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CHINA EASTERN · FLIGHT MU 589 CANCELLED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, November 15 Today

MU 589 · PVG → SFO

departs 2:15 PM CST · arrives 7:56 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 AM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±6 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

No weather details for this flight yet.

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MU 589 · PVG → SFO

Odds over time