Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3120
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
OO 3120 · SMF → BOI
departs 12:49 PM PT · arrives 3:32 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Fri 11/13 25%
Sat 11/14 15%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 17%
Tue 11/17 14%
Wed 11/18 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave SMF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at BOI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOI?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SMF
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI
Weather at each end
SMF (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
BOI (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.