OO 3808 · SLC → MSO

departs 4:05 PM MT · arrives 5:45 PM MT

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at MSO more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSO?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ SLC is busy at that time

↑ 4pm departures from SLC are often late

↓ SLC usually runs smoothly

↓ This flight has been late 10% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSO (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3808 · SLC → MSO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSO?