Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3995 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15 Today

OO 3995 · DTW → ORF

departs 9:43 PM ET · arrives 11:31 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORF?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 14% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORF (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3995 · DTW → ORF

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORF?