OO 4089 · ABQ → LAX

departs 6:31 PM MT · arrives 7:44 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±0 pts +39 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
39%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ This flight has been late 9% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ

Weather at each end

ABQ (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4089 · ABQ → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?